After apocalyptic warnings about the the threats posed by AI, leaders like Sam Altman and Elon Musk backed Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei’s calls to ‘slow the pace’
Yes because they have no choice: the technology has plateaued and is beyond the point of diminishing returns.
This isn’t about making things safe; it’s about getting “ahead” of the stories of them failing to meet the crazy expectations from the market bubble. They are managing expectations as the bubble is bursting and this is a stratagem to try and talk them out of this mess. But they can’t change reality by just saying stuff, as much as them seem to believe. Reality is catching up with them.
the technology has plateaued and is beyond the point of diminishing returns.
The technology is still advancing at a good pace and there’s no sign they’ve plateaued, especially in math and “reasoning”. For example the frontier math benchmark is showing big strides for the frontier models. A year ago they were only getting <10% of questions, now sol from openai is scoring 89% and they’re reporting the unreleased astra is at 98% .
They even had to create a new frontier math benchmark called erdos that all previous models scored 0% on and astra got 3% , which may not look like much but is a huge relative jump.
Yes because they have no choice: the technology has plateaued and is beyond the point of diminishing returns.
This isn’t about making things safe; it’s about getting “ahead” of the stories of them failing to meet the crazy expectations from the market bubble. They are managing expectations as the bubble is bursting and this is a stratagem to try and talk them out of this mess. But they can’t change reality by just saying stuff, as much as them seem to believe. Reality is catching up with them.
The technology is still advancing at a good pace and there’s no sign they’ve plateaued, especially in math and “reasoning”. For example the frontier math benchmark is showing big strides for the frontier models. A year ago they were only getting <10% of questions, now sol from openai is scoring 89% and they’re reporting the unreleased astra is at 98% .
They even had to create a new frontier math benchmark called erdos that all previous models scored 0% on and astra got 3% , which may not look like much but is a huge relative jump.