• 4 Posts
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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: July 9th, 2023

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  • It comes down to when is a child an independent adult, doesn’t it?

    • In the US you’re legally an adult at 18, and free public school ends about then. If you’re not going to college, maybe you’re an adult
    • however this hasn’t changed in many years and really needs to: both that more school should be standard and that most kids that age are not ready to be an adult.
    • full time college is a good argument for not being an independent adult, and kids should be fully supported by their parents

    I plan to follow what my parents did: everyone goes to college (or trade school or service academy: let’s not get picky but more education will better prepare them for being an adult), and since they’re not independent adults, parents need to support them. I’m doing my best to cover their college expenses, provide a welcoming home when they’re here, basics of modern life like insurance Internet devices and a vehicle, while also trying to plan for a little bump when they need to get their first car and first apartment. That establishes them as independent adults!

    It gets a little tougher when they “fail to launch”. Depending on the reasons and the amount of time, it can be a tough call between being their safety net and being their doormat. I can see mutually beneficial arrangements where they live at home, but the key word is “mutual”




  • User replaceable batteries would be actual cheap, would be nice. But iPhone 15 pro battery replacement at Apple is $100, and I’d expect that to be one of the more expensive battery replacements. Many phones will be cheaper, third parties will be cheaper. While I’d rather do it myself, it’s really not that much for once every three years to keep it above 80% health, and 9% of phone replacement cost.

    the argument of “why would you try to save your battery by not using it when it has the same net effect of less battery?” is pretty short-sighted.

    The argument is

    • why try to save your phone battery when it’s critical to last the day and eventual replacement is cheap?
    • it’s much more important to save your car battery because you won’t miss reduced range on normal days, you want max range available for road trips, and replacing the battery is very expensive

  • Definitely incredible but I still feel like people’s excitement is misdirected.

    • they’re less energy dense so not likely to be on phones or many cars
    • for cars the extra life is marginal when existing batteries already last more than the life of a typical vehicle
    • much cheaper will make a huge difference in low end cars.
    • but storage is the killer app! I don’t care about energy density but they’re much cheaper and will last much longer. Huge win!

    Imagine if home battery systems cost half as much but last four times as long! Or grid storage! This is huge!


  • I don’t see this as a valid comparison.

    • replacement phone batteries are really not that expensive. Don’t overthink it. Is it really a problem you might spend $50-$100 in three years to replace the battery?
    • car batteries are not just much more expensive but they’re also overkill. Charging to 80% is more than enough for almost everyone’s daily driving on most vehicles, so why charge more?

  • Most of these infamous early failure modes that people are afraid of are entirely possible to repair at home for a DIY guy. On a BEV I’m shit out of luck

    In a BEV many of those failure modes don’t exist. It’s quite possible we’ll see them last much longer with essentially no issues

    BEVs use conventional suspensions and brake systems, so failure there are likely just as repairable DIY


  • The batteries have gotten better over time, but they can still fail fairly early

    Aside from the OG Nissan Leaf with passive cooling, this really seems like more of a scare tactic than an actual issue.

    I don’t know about all EVs, but assuming they’re similar to mine:

    • battery warranteed for 8 years, 120,000 miles
    • solid history of batteries lasting 250,000 miles or more
    • aside from accident or manufacturing defect, batteries rarely actually fail. The above are defined for battery health being above 80%

    I’m sure it happens that a few people need to replace the battery but they tend to last beyond the full expected lifetime of most cars and the usual failure mode is to continue working with less range




  • I’d put that number a bit higher because they’re not a deterrent if any aggressor can conceive of taking them all out before you can react. But we’re already much higher than any reasonable logic like that

    At like 20, someone can keep track of where they all are and plan a preemptive attack with confidence of destroying them all before you can react. Too small a number could make nuclear war _more _ likely.

    The “nuclear triad” was a good concept to prevent any possibility of such an attack succeeding, so some number that can support multiple delivery mechanisms while Making a disarming attack very unlikely


  • The increase in non-strategic nuclear weapons (regional or battlefield) is an especially scary capability that we intentionally backed away from. Just no.

    The concept of needing a massive buildup to counter emerging nuclear powers is just laughable. Do they even look at what they’re writing?

    I have to admit that having some number of hypersonic missiles with nuclear warheads may be a good idea

    But the missed their opportunity with hypersonic missiles. As those become available worldwide, they increase the chances of an unblockable preemptive attack occurring with no chance for reaction. We don’t need more nuclear weapons (and fewer would be preferable) but they need to be survivable enough to be a valid deterrent


  • Dr Pepper, no contest! This past year my company had a change of ceo and the new guy is a little less health conscious so now they stock Dr Pepper!

    Jarritos Tamarind is outstanding, also one of my kids favorites!

    Lime Diet Coke is back in stores!

    Still looking for that legendary Birch Beer I had when I was a kid





  • Sure there are limitations. The point still stands: an imperfect machine translation is better than no translation, as long as people understand it is.

    Can we afford to allow a high bad deprive people of knowledge just because of the language they speak?

    The article complains about the affect on languages of poor machine translations, but the affect of no translations is worse. Yes those Greenlanders should be able to read all of Wikipedia without learning English and even if the project has no human translators


  • Is it even getting misused? Spreading knowledge via machine translation where there are no human translators available, had to be better than not translating. As long as there is transparency so people can judge the results ……

    And ai training trusting everything it reads is a larger systemic issue, not limited to this niche.

    Perhaps part of the solution is machine readable citations. Maybe a search engine or ai could provide better results if it knew what was human generated vs machine generated. But even then you have huge gaps on one side with untrustworthy humans (like comedy) and on the other side with machine generated facts such as from a database