Quak, Quak, quuaakk

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Joined 11 months ago
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Cake day: December 23rd, 2023

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  • America will withdraw from anywhere without a direct financial benefit to the administration. This creates a vacuum and blind spots that will be filled by the US’s adversaries, creating an even more opaque playing field for the US.

    Heavily tarrifed sales to the US will be paid for by the US citizens while at the same time non US companies will see their sales in the US decline. If he removes income tax, this might be a bump in take home, but won’t offset the rise in prices, especially not if US companies will just raise their prices to as close as possible match the non US alternatives making record profits.

    Trump will demand countries pay for us protection, but having shown to be unreliable, this might mean some short term income for the US, the countries will scramble to be independent from the US and the US MIC as they cannot be trusted either (the us might stop sales, or even turn of supplied weapons).

    The same for Ukraine, most likely Trump will just tell Europe to poney up the money and as long as the EU has no alternative they will have to, or they will allow Ukraine to fall, blaming it on trump. Regardless the relationship between the US and the EU will dramatically sour.

    Since the EU is in an energy crisis, most likely Trump will try to price gouge the EU here as well… on the other hand, drill baby drill could mean cheaper energy overall giving him severe leverage over countries in the middle east.


  • Luckily the police and the military have a bit different standards. Army generals are mostly well educated and very well read men who deal with the whole world and not just their neck of the woods, and possibly more important is that in the world of the military they do not have the monopoly on violence. They have to deal with adversaries who are equals and thus changes the power dynamic A LOT. A police captain can in the end just escalate all the way to the national guard and stomp out anything… in the military they cannot as their escalations immediately leads to deaths and escalates all the way to nuclear Armageddon. So luckily they are of a different breed.

    But now, trump might replace the top brass with his loyalists, (loyalty > competence) fast tracking some appointments of people that normally not have made it to that level.

    The guard rails are off… the world is in for a wild ride.













  • Counting and addition a methodology?

    The only thing might be the “red mirage / blue wave” from 2020 caused by the fact Trump told his followers to only vote in person and the Dems told people to vote by mail as there was a pandemic going on. This caused the mail in ballots to be predominantly dem and the in-person ballots to be predominantly rep. The mail in ballots in some states can only be counted after the polls close… creating the illusion of impropriety if you don’t understand what’s going on. Trump and his team pushed on this specifically to their uninformed voter base.